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Radiologist

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With X-rays, there is a risk of cancer. A patient's risk of getting cancer is determined by many factors, including things like age, the number of X-rays they have had, smoking and family history. These risks are documented in tables and are measured in instances per million.

You have a patient who is concerned that a series of X-rays will cause cancer. Here is what his cancer risk looks like for the various tests he's had:

Skull exam -- 6 per million
Additional skull exam -- 6 per million
Cervical spine exam -- 3.6 per million
Additional cervical spine exam -- 3.6 per million
Thoracic spine (wide exam) -- 12 per million
Lumbar spine (wide exam) -- 45 per million
Three humerus exams -- 0.6 per million

Total = 76.8 per million

If roughly 77 people per million will develop some cancerous cells from these tests, what are your patient's chances of developing cancer from his tests?

You want to be able to tell him he has a 1 in ___ chance of developing cancer.

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